Dragon 0-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.06/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.18
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
02.09.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
02.05.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
07.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
27.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-3 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
02.10.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
30.03.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo nicked a narrow win over Dragon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Once Deportivo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dragon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dragon and 1.17 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Once Deportivo?

Dragon 0-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dragon 31%, draw 32%, Once Deportivo 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Deportivo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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