FAS 1-2 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +27%
1.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
21.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
18.02.2024 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
17.11.2023 FAS FAS 3-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
21.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 1-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
14.04.2022 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno edged past FAS 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FAS at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FAS and 1.33 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of FAS vs Municipal Limeno?

FAS 1-2 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FAS 41%, draw 29%, Municipal Limeno 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FAS), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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