Aguila 3-1 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.67
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +110%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cacahuatique
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.09.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila saw off Cacahuatique 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Cacahuatique?

Aguila 3-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aguila 50%, draw 25%, Cacahuatique 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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