Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.68/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.42
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
09.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
28.03.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo and Fuerte San Francisco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Luis Angel Firpo carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.33 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 58%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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