Isidro Metapan 1-2 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.82
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-13.9pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +32%
1.27/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.05
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-1 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.03.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
31.01.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.10.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.08.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.05.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno nicked a narrow win over Isidro Metapan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Municipal Limeno found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.00 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

Isidro Metapan 1-2 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 37%, draw 35%, Municipal Limeno 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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