Municipal Limeno 0-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -6%
1.65/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.51
+22% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
15.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2-0 HT 2-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
11.02.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-3 HT 1-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
09.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-3 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
07.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
02.05.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan squeezed past Municipal Limeno 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Isidro Metapan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Limeno and 0.83 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Isidro Metapan?

Municipal Limeno 0-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 39%, draw 30%, Isidro Metapan 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal Limeno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Under 2.5
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