FAS 1-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 May 2024

FAS
1-1 HT 0-0
Alianza
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.09/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.91
-9% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.03.2024 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.08.2023 Alianza Alianza 5-3 HT 5-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
21.05.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
18.05.2023 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS and Alianza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FAS and 1.00 for Alianza.

What was the final score of FAS vs Alianza?

FAS 1-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FAS 34%, draw 29%, Alianza 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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