Alianza 4-0 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.69/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.03
+5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Cacahuatique
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.05.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.03.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-4 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.01.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 1-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
04.10.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
02.08.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-3 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza swept aside Cacahuatique 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Alianza 4-0 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alianza 46%, draw 31%, Cacahuatique 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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