Cacahuatique 1-2 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.54
Over 2.5
51%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
61%
-12.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
39%
+12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.58/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.03
-47% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacahuatique
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.03.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-4 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.01.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 1-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
04.10.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
02.08.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-3 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Cacahuatique vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Cacahuatique 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cacahuatique and 2.00 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Cacahuatique vs Alianza?

Cacahuatique 1-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacahuatique vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cacahuatique 33%, draw 25%, Alianza 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
8 May 2025
04:30 Municipal Limeno vs Isidro Metapan Analysis →
05:00 FAS vs Aguila Analysis →