Alianza 1-2 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.72/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.60
+7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +134%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cacahuatique
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.10.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
02.08.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-3 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique squeezed past Alianza 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Alianza 1-2 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alianza 52%, draw 25%, Cacahuatique 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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