FAS 1-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 May 2025

FAS
1-2 HT 1-0
Aguila
📅08/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.87
+28% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
248 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguila
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.03.2025 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
09.12.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
05.12.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.10.2024 FAS FAS 3-4 HT 2-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over FAS 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FAS and 2.00 for Aguila.

What was the final score of FAS vs Aguila?

FAS 1-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FAS 25%, draw 33%, Aguila 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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