FAS 1-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 Dec 2024

FAS
1-1 HT 0-0
Aguila
📅05/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.78
+74% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +46%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aguila
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
20.10.2024 FAS FAS 3-4 HT 2-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
13.05.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
10.05.2024 FAS FAS 3-1 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
05.05.2024 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
17.03.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-2 HT 2-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS and Aguila shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FAS and 2.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of FAS vs Aguila?

FAS 1-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FAS 30%, draw 30%, Aguila 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5
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