Once Deportivo 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.56
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
26.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 HT 1-2 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 5-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
08.02.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo nicked a narrow win over Luis Angel Firpo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Once Deportivo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Once Deportivo and 2.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Once Deportivo 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 42%, draw 31%, Luis Angel Firpo 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Deportivo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
5 Dec 2024
05:00 FAS vs Aguila Analysis →