Once Deportivo 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
0.96/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.53
-26% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 HT 1-2 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 5-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
08.02.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.04.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Once Deportivo 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Luis Angel Firpo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Once Deportivo and 2.17 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Once Deportivo 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 40%, draw 30%, Luis Angel Firpo 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Once Deportivo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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