Dragon 1-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Oct 2024

Dragon
1-0
Alianza
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Dragon vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
0.98/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.85
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Dragon vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
25.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 6-1 HT 3-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
26.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.09.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon edged past Alianza 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dragon and 2.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Alianza?

Dragon 1-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dragon 22%, draw 26%, Alianza 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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