Alianza 3-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

Alianza
3-0 HT 1-0
Dragon
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Alianza vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.02
+6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Alianza vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dragon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 6-1 HT 3-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
26.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.09.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza cruised past Dragon 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Dragon?

Alianza 3-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alianza 54%, draw 22%, Dragon 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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