Alianza 6-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Apr 2024

Alianza
6-1 HT 3-0
Dragon
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Alianza vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.65
-3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Alianza vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Dragon
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.09.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
08.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza cruised past Dragon 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alianza and 0.80 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Dragon?

Alianza 6-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza 50%, draw 23%, Dragon 27%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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