Municipal Limeno 2-2 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.38
+37% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
19.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
25.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
14.03.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-2 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.01.2022 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
17.10.2021 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno and Luis Angel Firpo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Limeno at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.50 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Municipal Limeno 2-2 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 41%, draw 26%, Luis Angel Firpo 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Municipal Limeno), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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