Aguila 3-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Aug 2024

Aguila
3-1 HT 1-0
FAS
📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.69/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.47
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FAS
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.05.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
10.05.2024 FAS FAS 3-1 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
05.05.2024 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
17.03.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-2 HT 2-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
23.11.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
24.09.2023 FAS FAS 2-2 HT 2-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila saw off FAS 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguila and 1.50 for FAS.

What was the final score of Aguila vs FAS?

Aguila 3-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aguila 47%, draw 25%, FAS 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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