Dragon 0-1 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique nicked a narrow win over Dragon 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacahuatique as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Cacahuatique?

Dragon 0-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacahuatique win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dragon 33%, draw 26%, Cacahuatique 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacahuatique), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacahuatique) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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