19/08/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Dragon vs Cacahuatique Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
26%
Draw
28%
41%
Away Win
30%
56%
Under 2.5
52%
44%
Over 2.5
48%
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
54%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dragon v Cacahuatique — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dragon
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cacahuatique
EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+19%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
304 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dragon vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cacahuatique nicked a narrow win over Dragon 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cacahuatique as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Dragon vs Cacahuatique?
Dragon 0-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dragon vs Cacahuatique?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cacahuatique win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dragon 33%, draw 26%, Cacahuatique 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacahuatique), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Cacahuatique)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ELSAL
More El Salvador - Primera Liga
19 Aug 2024