Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 38%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.85/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.32
-32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.03.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.10.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
29.08.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Municipal Limeno found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.75 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 37%, draw 29%, Municipal Limeno 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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