Once Deportivo 1-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 56%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.12/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.99
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
25.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
17.04.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.02.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo and Alianza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Deportivo and 1.17 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Alianza?

Once Deportivo 1-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 23%, draw 31%, Alianza 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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