Alianza 2-0 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.73/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.67
-1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
418 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
25.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
17.04.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.02.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
29.04.2022 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza saw off Once Deportivo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Alianza 2-0 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alianza 57%, draw 22%, Once Deportivo 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
12 May 2024
04:00 Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan Analysis →