Once Deportivo vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Deportivo v Alianza — Team-Based Signals
Once Deportivo vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza
ELSAL
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza
ELSAL
2-0
HT 0-0
Once Deportivo
ELSAL
1-0
HT 1-0
Once Deportivo
ELSAL
1-2
HT 0-1
Alianza
ELSAL
Once Deportivo saw off Alianza 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Once Deportivo and 1.17 for Alianza.
What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Alianza?
Once Deportivo 3-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Alianza?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 27%, draw 29%, Alianza 44%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.