Dragon 1-4 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Mar 2024

Dragon
1-4 HT 0-2
Luis Angel Firpo
📅25/03/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Luis Angel Firpo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.47
+6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
06.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-3 HT 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-3 HT 2-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
21.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
18.05.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo swept aside Dragon 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Luis Angel Firpo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dragon and 1.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Dragon 1-4 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dragon 34%, draw 27%, Luis Angel Firpo 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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