Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.89
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Aguila
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
09.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco and Aguila couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 32%, draw 27%, Aguila 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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