Aguila 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.28
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Fuerte San Francisco played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aguila and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Aguila 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aguila 53%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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