Alianza 0-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.58/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.28
+4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
17.04.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.02.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
29.04.2022 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
24.02.2022 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
13.12.2021 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo squeezed past Alianza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 0.50 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Alianza 0-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alianza 45%, draw 28%, Once Deportivo 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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