Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Jan 2024

📅15/01/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
45%
-13.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.07/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.41
-23% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dragon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-3 HT 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-3 HT 2-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
21.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
18.05.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
04.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
06.03.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Dragon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Luis Angel Firpo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dragon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.50 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 31%, draw 33%, Dragon 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dragon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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