Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.75/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
+23% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
21.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
18.02.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
08.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.08.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.03.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo edged past Isidro Metapan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 50%, draw 22%, Isidro Metapan 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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