FAS 3-4 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2024

FAS
3-4 HT 2-2
Aguila
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
27%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
27%
Away Win
37%
-10.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.17/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.86
-4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguila
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
13.05.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
10.05.2024 FAS FAS 3-1 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
05.05.2024 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
17.03.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-2 HT 2-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
23.11.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila squeezed past FAS 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Aguila made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FAS and 1.83 for Aguila.

What was the final score of FAS vs Aguila?

FAS 3-4 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FAS 39%, draw 34%, Aguila 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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