Municipal Limeno 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.38/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.29
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
02.05.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.03.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.10.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
29.08.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno ran out comfortable winners over Fuerte San Francisco 4-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Municipal Limeno found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Municipal Limeno had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Municipal Limeno 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 34%, draw 27%, Fuerte San Francisco 39%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✗ BTTS Yes
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