Aguila 3-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 3 Feb 2025

Aguila
3-1 HT 1-1
FAS
📅03/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.76/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FAS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
09.12.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
05.12.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.10.2024 FAS FAS 3-4 HT 2-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.08.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
13.05.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
10.05.2024 FAS FAS 3-1 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila got the better of FAS 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aguila and 1.67 for FAS.

What was the final score of Aguila vs FAS?

Aguila 3-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aguila 45%, draw 30%, FAS 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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