Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.94/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.13
-10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
17.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
28.03.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.01.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
30.10.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo nicked a narrow win over Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.83 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 24%, draw 23%, Luis Angel Firpo 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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