Alianza vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza v Aguila — Team-Based Signals
Alianza vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aguila
ELSAL
Aguila edged past Alianza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Aguila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Aguila.
What was the final score of Alianza vs Aguila?
Alianza 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza vs Aguila?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alianza 35%, draw 31%, Aguila 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.