Aguila 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2025

Aguila
0-1 HT 0-1
Alianza
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Aguila vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.55/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.46
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Aguila vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alianza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
11.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
31.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
22.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.12.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Aguila 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguila and 0.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Alianza?

Aguila 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aguila 44%, draw 32%, Alianza 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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