Aguila 3-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 Sep 2024

Aguila
3-0 HT 2-0
Alianza
📅12/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Aguila vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.6
Over 2.5
55%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.60/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.91
-48% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Aguila vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
22.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.12.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.04.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila swept aside Alianza 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Aguila made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguila and 0.83 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Alianza?

Aguila 3-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aguila 37%, draw 23%, Alianza 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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