Aguila 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Jan 2024

Aguila
0-1 HT 0-1
Alianza
📅22/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Aguila vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.15/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.95
-11% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Aguila vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.12.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.04.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.05.2022 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Aguila 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguila and 0.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Alianza?

Aguila 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguila 41%, draw 32%, Alianza 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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