Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.01/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FAS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-2 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
27.08.2023 FAS FAS 2-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.04.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 0-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
02.03.2023 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.05.2022 FAS FAS 0-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
27.02.2022 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-3 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS got the better of Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day FAS made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.50 for FAS.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs FAS?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 37%, draw 28%, FAS 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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