Alianza 1-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 31 Mar 2024

Alianza
1-1 HT 1-0
Aguila
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Alianza vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.54
Over 2.5
29%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.0pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Aguila — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.83
+62% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.3

Alianza vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Aguila
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.12.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.04.2023 Alianza Alianza 2-2 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza and Aguila shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza and 0.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Aguila?

Alianza 1-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza 37%, draw 36%, Aguila 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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