Alianza 1-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 11 Nov 2024

Alianza
1-1
Aguila
📅11/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Alianza vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza v Aguila — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
0.89/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.96
-30% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.1 Yellow Cards 3.5

Alianza vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aguila
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
12.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
31.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
22.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.12.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.09.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza and Aguila couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Aguila?

Alianza 1-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alianza 42%, draw 30%, Aguila 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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