Portugalete 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
30%
2.87
6+ Goals
8%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portugalete EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portugalete
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2023 Portugalete Portugalete 2-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II HAZ
30.01.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 HT 1-0 Portugalete Portugalete İS3
01.11.2020 Portugalete Portugalete 2-3 HT 2-2 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portugalete
0-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Portugalete vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II edged past Portugalete 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portugalete had 52% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 48%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portugalete and 1.67 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Portugalete vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Portugalete 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II in the Friendlies on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portugalete vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Portugalete 27%, draw 23%, Athletic Bilbao II 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
17 Aug 2025
19:00 Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Analysis →