Emmen 1-4 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Aug 2025

Emmen
1-4 HT 1-3
Almere City
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Emmen vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.44
1/2
8%
24.1
1/X
4%
13.65
X/1
17%
7.4
X/2
18%
4.69
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.68
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.20
-2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.9 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Emmen vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Almere City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.06.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-2 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
06.06.2023 Almere City Almere City 2-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
11.02.2022 Almere City Almere City 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.11.2021 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
14.07.2019 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HAZ
25.03.2018 Almere City Almere City 2-2 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Emmen 1-4 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
1-4
AWAY Almere City
1.00 xG 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
342 Passes 249
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City ran out comfortable winners over Emmen 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Emmen had 56% of the ball to Almere City's 44%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.00 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Almere City?

Emmen 1-4 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Emmen 34%, draw 21%, Almere City 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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