Willem II vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Willem II
HOL2
4-0
FC Eindhoven
HAZ
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Eindhoven
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOK
2-1
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL2
Willem II 0-1 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics
FC Eindhoven edged past Willem II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Willem II at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Willem II had 63% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 37%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.37 to 1.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Willem II.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Willem II and 0.67 for FC Eindhoven.
What was the final score of Willem II vs FC Eindhoven?
Willem II 0-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs FC Eindhoven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Willem II 59%, draw 20%, FC Eindhoven 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.