Willem II 3-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.76
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
17%
3.75
X/2
6%
13.4
X/X
12%
6.54
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
7%
10.05
2/X
8%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
2.04/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.77
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
25.6 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
15.07.2023 Willem II Willem II 4-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HAZ
06.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
18.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOK
12.08.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
19.07.2017 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
3-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.39 xG 0.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
502 Passes 246
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Willem II vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II cruised past FC Eindhoven 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Willem II had 64% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 36%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.39 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 0.83 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Willem II vs FC Eindhoven?

Willem II 3-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Willem II 54%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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