Ajka 1-0 Budapest Honved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.25/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.00
+10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
222 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Budapest Honved
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 2-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
18.08.2024 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
12.05.2024 Ajka Ajka 0-2 HT 0-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
12.11.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Budapest Honved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Budapest Honved 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Budapest Honved at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajka and 1.00 for Budapest Honved.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Budapest Honved?

Ajka 1-0 Budapest Honved in the Hungary - NB II on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Budapest Honved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ajka 25%, draw 27%, Budapest Honved 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Budapest Honved), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budapest Honved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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