17/08/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Aalesund II vs Surnadal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
16%
Draw
15%
14%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aalesund II v Surnadal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aalesund II
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
Surnadal
EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+16%
3.23/1.66
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.90/2.88
+2%
/
-32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
+10%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
418 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
246 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.2
Aalesund II vs Surnadal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Aalesund II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Surnadal
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Aalesund II vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aalesund II cruised past Surnadal 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund II as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Surnadal?
Aalesund II 4-0 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Surnadal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 69%, draw 16%, Surnadal 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Aalesund II)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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17 Aug 2025