Surnadal 5-0 Aalesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 Jun 2025

Surnadal
5-0 HT 4-0
Aalesund II
📅23/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2025

Surnadal vs Aalesund II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
61%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
9%
+6.2pp
24%
Draw
13%
+10.5pp
61%
Away Win
78%
-16.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Surnadal v Aalesund II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surnadal EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 84%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.51/3.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.34
-57% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
206 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 510 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Surnadal vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Surnadal swept aside Aalesund II 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Aalesund II carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Surnadal vs Aalesund II?

Surnadal 5-0 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surnadal vs Aalesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Surnadal 15%, draw 24%, Aalesund II 61%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aalesund II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
23 Jun 2025
18:30 Spjelkavik vs Rosenborg II Analysis →
19:00 Trygg/Lade vs Molde II Analysis →
20:00 Nordstrand vs Stromsgodset II Analysis →
20:00 Sarpsborg 08 II vs Orn Horten Analysis →
20:00 Funnefoss / Vormsund vs KFUM II Analysis →
21:00 HamKam II vs Lorenskog Analysis →