Sarpsborg 08 II 3-1 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 Jun 2025

📅23/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.57
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.33
No
41%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
35%
+11.9pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.8pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
71%
-12.1pp
41%
BTTS No
29%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.52/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.51
-23% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
3-1
AWAY Orn Horten
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II got the better of Orn Horten 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarpsborg 08 II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 41% of the ball to Orn Horten's 59%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Orn Horten?

Sarpsborg 08 II 3-1 Orn Horten in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 47%, draw 17%, Orn Horten 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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