Pogon Siedlce 2-0 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.01/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-3 HT 0-3 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
02.09.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
2-0
AWAY Polonia Bytom
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce saw off Polonia Bytom 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Pogon Siedlce found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 52% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 48%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 2.00 for Polonia Bytom.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom?

Pogon Siedlce 2-0 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 35%, draw 25%, Polonia Bytom 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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